Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.357148 0.390166 0.425344 0.465693 0.510790 0.559755 0.617090
2026-01-04 0.305774 0.352549 0.405770 0.471160 0.549817 0.641983 0.759033
2026-01-11 0.274340 0.327931 0.391679 0.473814 0.577863 0.706673 0.880386
2026-01-18 0.251197 0.308933 0.380082 0.475333 0.601229 0.764394 0.995967
2026-01-25 0.234194 0.295085 0.372427 0.479467 0.626325 0.824602 1.119356
2026-02-01 0.215073 0.276437 0.356349 0.470058 0.631056 0.856158 1.204524
2026-02-08 0.203119 0.266020 0.349897 0.472461 0.651366 0.910210 1.327111
2026-02-15 0.190838 0.254072 0.340167 0.468964 0.662165 0.950474 1.432134
2026-02-22 0.181753 0.245781 0.334706 0.470783 0.680376 1.002780 1.561330
2026-03-01 0.171494 0.235079 0.324934 0.465203 0.686386 1.035995 1.661966
2026-03-08 0.161935 0.224748 0.314933 0.458329 0.689435 1.064160 1.756392
2026-03-15 0.151289 0.212194 0.300830 0.444000 0.679122 1.068893 1.808924
2026-03-22 0.147013 0.208944 0.300624 0.451700 0.705843 1.139344 1.992328
2026-03-29 0.142429 0.204958 0.299026 0.456999 0.728925 1.205702 2.177123
2026-04-05 0.137579 0.200260 0.295967 0.459556 0.747280 1.265067 2.355839
2026-04-12 0.132864 0.195491 0.292467 0.461019 0.763640 1.322067 2.537321
2026-04-19 0.129030 0.191885 0.290577 0.465002 0.784716 1.389875 2.751448
2026-04-26 0.122821 0.184173 0.281556 0.455936 0.780828 1.408342 2.858490
2026-05-03 0.119270 0.180569 0.279102 0.458252 0.798470 1.471433 3.076967
2026-05-10 0.114881 0.175382 0.273706 0.454883 0.804803 1.511778 3.247425
2026-05-17 0.111705 0.172040 0.271236 0.456635 0.821213 1.574769 3.483165
2026-05-24 0.107473 0.166743 0.265141 0.451258 0.822867 1.606004 3.643072
2026-05-31 0.103282 0.161339 0.258600 0.444634 0.821430 1.630202 3.788295